Investment Event
German grand coalition?
25 February 2025
Key takeaways
- The CDU/CSU won the German election. A grand coalition with the SPD appears the most likely outcome
- The grand coalition would require support of other parties to reform the German debt brake
- German and eurozone equities have increased relatively quicky recently, so some near-term caution may be warranted. Nonetheless, with eurozone equities trading at a larger than normal discount to the US, any positive European growth or policy surprises could further extend the recent outperformance