Investment Event
AI trade wobble
29 January 2025
Key takeaways
- The release of an AI model, R1, by Chinese company DeepSeek has injected significant uncertainty over the future of the global AI business model
- It is too early to argue for a big negative impact on AI capex spend and chip demand, and the wider US tech sector
- But with DeepSeek potentially challenging the market dominance of US megacap tech firms, we think it makes sense to be cautious on the sector
- We think there is a possibility that market performance “broadens” and “deepens” away from megacap tech in 2025